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Alan Skrainka  Quotes
The war phase in Iraq seems to be winding down. I think in the months ahead consumer confidence will improve. It’s a mistake to just look at the short term. I think it’s more important...

—Alan Skrainka

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Confidence
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I think all these reports taken together are going to paint an economy that is too hot. Labor costs are rising and that is beginning to lead to some signs of inflation.

—Alan Skrainka

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Economy
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Our advice is that for a very small portion of your portfolio 5 percent it’s OK to own gold or a broader basket of commodities. But don’t do this because it’s popular or exciting. If...

—Alan Skrainka

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The market is nervous. We’re in a transition period as we get through all the accounting issues.

—Alan Skrainka

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Accounting
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It just reflects Wall Street’s manic-depressive mood. In the meantime, you have some selective cautious buying, but I think people are much more cautious and not just jumping in on any dip.

—Alan Skrainka

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The rest of the market continues to struggle with reports that continue to show the economy is too strong.

—Alan Skrainka

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Economy
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I think politics are a sideshow right now. We think the best thing an investor can do is step up their buying gradually as prices move lower.

—Alan Skrainka

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Individual investors have to separate the statistical noise of week to week numbers and focus on the big picture.

—Alan Skrainka

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Focus
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I don’t think we can read anything at all into it. It’s a lack of conviction and a lot of fence-sitting.

—Alan Skrainka

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Conviction
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They already made an investment decision prior to the rule change being official.

—Alan Skrainka

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Take IBM out and the market looks pretty much unchanged on the day.

—Alan Skrainka

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We are not seeing the big slowdown but we are seeing some weakness around the edges showing the medicine is starting to take effect. And I don’t think it’s just psychological.

—Alan Skrainka

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Medicine
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If you read the speech, he seems to imply that those hikes aren’t enough.

—Alan Skrainka

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Speech
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Over the last six years, we have experienced the largest drop in price/earnings ratios in the history of the U.S. stock market, going back to 1871. 2006 has the potential to be a great year...

—Alan Skrainka

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History
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The easiest thing is to be bullish when the market is rising and bearish when the market is falling. But as we all know, that’s not how to make money in the stock market.

—Alan Skrainka

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It has nothing to do with the economy. It was in the private equity unit where they tried to help fledgling tech companies get started.

—Alan Skrainka

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Economy
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We think they do have a great pipeline in the areas of cardiovascular, cancer and AIDS. These are the fastest growing areas in the pharmaceutical industry.

—Alan Skrainka

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Cancer
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The market has done well in the year following a recession. We think the recession has ended.

—Alan Skrainka

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I think it was a very volatile and directionless week. Investors should tap on the brakes a few times and strap on their seat belts. (Last week) was very earnings driven, and now it’s shifting...

—Alan Skrainka

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It’s the same story. Technology is hot, and everything else is not.

—Alan Skrainka

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Technology
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It’s a very unusual day for the Dow Jones because IBM and J.P. Morgan accounted for more than half the drop. We’ve got a lot of fear in the market place and that’s going to...

—Alan Skrainka

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Clearly, Microsoft is the catalyst for today’s tech sell-off.

—Alan Skrainka

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The next major event is Microsoft’s response, but I don’t think that’s significant. It’s significant but not to the technology sector as a whole.

—Alan Skrainka

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Technology
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Techs were hot and everything else was not on confusion about the future of interest rates. When the interest-rate picture is cloudy, the focus turns to earnings. And earnings in the tech sector have been...

—Alan Skrainka

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If the economy is growing, companies’ earnings are growing and that moves the market.

—Alan Skrainka

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Economy
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Long-term investors know this (rate cut) is a green light to get back into the market.

—Alan Skrainka

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There’s cautiousness about the interest-rate outlook — a bit of consolidation after very strong gains.

—Alan Skrainka

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Interest
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We think this bull has legs.

—Alan Skrainka

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It’s just been a very quiet day. Nobody wants to make a big bet prior to tomorrow’s decision. People are pretty convinced that the Federal Reserve won’t make a change to rates but they want...

—Alan Skrainka

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The signs of slowing are few and far between. I think it’s really the data between now and (the next meeting) that will determine whether it will be a quarter percentage or half percentage point...

—Alan Skrainka

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The valuation gap between old economy stocks and new economy stocks is getting wider and wider. To me, it’s like a rubber band. You can only stretch it so far and eventually it’s going to...

—Alan Skrainka

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Economy
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Small business owners have a great stake not only in what’s going on in the stock market, but what’s happening in the overall economy as a result.

—Alan Skrainka

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Business
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It’s (Johnson & Johnson) very reasonably priced, relative to its prospects, and while J&J may be at a yearly high, again, we think it is pretty close to its five-year low, if you are talking...

—Alan Skrainka

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Investors are focusing on Greenspan and the fact that he said they (the central bank) had increased rates four times and it did little to slow the economy. He is saying more work needs to...

—Alan Skrainka

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There’s still a lot of concern about slowing personal computer sales and reduced corporate information technology purchases.

—Alan Skrainka

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This economy is facing a temporary setback. What it’s going to take is time.

—Alan Skrainka

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Economy
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I think people placed bets today based on (the data). By buying stocks today, you are assuming we won’t get bad news tomorrow.

—Alan Skrainka

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People
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It’s just the nuttiest argument that I’ve ever heard — this whole idea of old economy versus new economy assumes that we’re all going to be sitting around in the dark, naked and hungry, surfing...

—Alan Skrainka

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Economy
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The last seven ‘bear’ markets — if you measure a bear market by a 20 percent drop — have quickly forecast economic recessions. For people with 90 percent of their net worth tied up in...

—Alan Skrainka

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What you have going on in this market is a flight to quality, which is the blue chips, as tech stocks are priced to perfection.

—Alan Skrainka

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Quality
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I think the performance gap between the new-economy and old-economy stocks is like a rubber band; it seems to be snapping the other way. The new economy sounds very exciting, but you’re still going to...

—Alan Skrainka

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Economy
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I think this is one time the Fed is behind the curve.

—Alan Skrainka

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There has been a lot of s elling that has taken place and you see so many analysts that are throwing in the towel. I think when investors wake up three or so years from...

—Alan Skrainka

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It’s a very cautious market. We’re saying take a step back from the day-to-day and look at the big picture.

—Alan Skrainka

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We may be entering a recession here. So if I owned a small business, I would pay very close attention to controlling costs and develop a contingency plan.

—Alan Skrainka

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We think, in the short run, psychology drives the market but in the long run, fundamentals drive the market. We see very low inflation and no inflationary pressures. We think, going forward, expectations have come...

—Alan Skrainka

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Psychology
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It looks like the threat of breaking up the company has been taken off the table and is beginning to fade.

—Alan Skrainka

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Beginning
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The word for 2001 is look for opportunities. There are problems in the economy but they have gotten aggressive responses from policy makers.

—Alan Skrainka

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I do think the majority of Alan Greenspan’s work is done.

—Alan Skrainka

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People are waiting for the Fed. I think the Fed will leave rates alone, probably say that the risks are tilted toward inflation and people are also saying they’ll come back in August and hike...

—Alan Skrainka

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People
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