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Greg Valliere  Quotes
My bottom line is that this not catastrophic for the Bush agenda,

—Greg Valliere

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They won’t move on October 3 but, as you know, there’s a meeting right after the election. If, during that period between now and November, the economy show signs of re-accelerating, and there’s an inflation...

—Greg Valliere

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The markets would be perfectly happy with gridlock.

—Greg Valliere

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Politically this is very, very clever, … It puts the White House on the defensive on the whole issue of job outsourcing. There could be some Republicans (in Congress) intrigued by this. But it’s way...

—Greg Valliere

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Clever
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The combination of fiscal and monetary stimulus right now is the largest I’ve seen in years, … It’s good for GDP. If the economy starts to hum, stocks should do well.

—Greg Valliere

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I think it will be months and months before you see this clarified.

—Greg Valliere

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I think it (Friday’s report) is incredibly important from a market point of view. But I’m not sure that swing voters in rural Ohio are going to be into the non-farm payroll number.

—Greg Valliere

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The Wall Street types want to make the United States attractive for investment, and a strong currency attracts investors.

—Greg Valliere

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I’m up to a one-in-three chance that we will not know for days who won the election. And it could really drag on through December again. It’s a cliche but it’s a true cliche, that...

—Greg Valliere

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For the people who experience it, it’s a tragedy, but for the country as a whole, we can absorb it.

—Greg Valliere

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Country
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I think Bush would be a clear favorite.

—Greg Valliere

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Members of Congress, especially Republicans, are beginning to realize that around the country, even among their supporters, they’re being viewed as dysfunctional, unable to get anything done. So I think the Republicans are starting to...

—Greg Valliere

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Beginning
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O’Neill’s departure removes an impediment for a big stimulus package, … He had been lobbying against a package, worried about a budget deficit.

—Greg Valliere

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I think political strategies now are in agreement that the public doesn’t want a big huge change on anything, whether its health care or the contract with the gold standard.

—Greg Valliere

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I personally think the 1992 analogy has been overdone.

—Greg Valliere

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Analogy
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He needs to restore investor confidence, … It’s extremely unlikely he would say anything that would be viewed negatively by the markets. He’s going to make it clear that we are not looking at the...

—Greg Valliere

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He can afford to tilt at windmills, because he’s Warren Buffett. But I doubt he can really influence the Republican leadership.

—Greg Valliere

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My take is that they know they’ve got a tough selling job ahead, … I think they have to sell it (the policies) to Wall Street, to the capital, and to the public. The administration’s...

—Greg Valliere

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It gives the bond market a comfort level that you have a replacement just as vigilant on inflation as Greenspan was.

—Greg Valliere

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Comfort
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I really think when you talk about pocketbook issues that affect the electorate, people think about the Nasdaq (composite index) and the Dow Jones (industrial average). If we got another rate hike and the market...

—Greg Valliere

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People
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That’s a classic move in both parties — appeal to the base to win primaries, then move to the center in a general election — and I think he will do that. He will cite...

—Greg Valliere

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I think everyone knows it will start moving higher because of all the layoffs we’ve seen so that will probably just tell us what we already know,

—Greg Valliere

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On one hand, he seems more palatable to Wall Street than Dean, in that his positions on trade and taxes are more moderate.

—Greg Valliere

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If the dollar were to threaten below 120 yen again, they’ll intervene again. I think they’ve got to improve their export sector. They’ve got to export their way out of this.

—Greg Valliere

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We’ll probably get more rate cuts tomorrow, but I think you will probably see something on the fiscal side too. You may even get a little more on the tax side. Even Democrats agree that...

—Greg Valliere

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I think this doesn’t help his standing on the Hill. I think [Biggs] would have made life much easier for Pitt.

—Greg Valliere

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A lot of actions, like going after the drug companies, will never make it through the House, … Congress is hawkish, period, and will stay hawkish.

—Greg Valliere

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I think Friday’s number will be impossible to analyze. But everyone said all the numbers this week would be ignored, and the ISM number caused a big sell-off in the bond market.

—Greg Valliere

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I suppose if you wanted to take a sort of off-the-wall view, maybe they’re [the government] trying to negotiate in print. Maybe they’re leaking these really harsh remedies in the hope that Microsoft still at...

—Greg Valliere

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I think sometimes after we have this type of party, there is a hangover — and this comes in ’05, … The new Congress in ’05 will make efforts to restrain growth. They may not...

—Greg Valliere

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You have to say that it could be a hollow victory, a pyrrhic victory, for the eventual winner if you will. We had a situation back in 1876, I’m told, where Rutherford B. Hayes won,...

—Greg Valliere

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Victory
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The two candidates who had backing from organized labor got slaughtered last night. You have to conclude that protectionist arguments just aren’t going anywhere.

—Greg Valliere

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The consumer is not on a spending binge – consumer spending has moderated and I don’t think there’s a compelling case (to raise rates).

—Greg Valliere

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I think one sector that could benefit [from Republican control] would be the health-care sector in general and the drug stocks in particular. I think a fear on Wall Street would dissipate that there could...

—Greg Valliere

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The next few months are really crucial. If it’s clear by the end of winter to most Americans that the economy has turned, the economy won’t be a big negative for Bush. But it’s a...

—Greg Valliere

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I think Microsoft would like to wait until after the election, and maybe if George W. Bush wins, they could get treated better by a Bush Justice Department. I think they’re delusional if they think...

—Greg Valliere

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Even people who don’t like Microsoft we talked to late yesterday were shocked. They felt this could give Microsoft an opening in the appeals process to claim, ‘We didn’t get due process, this judge was...

—Greg Valliere

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People
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Bush said in the state of Washington, right before the Washington primary, that he had problems with the suit. He indicated he didn’t necessarily favor a breakup. The next day he sort of retracted the...

—Greg Valliere

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There was a lot of speculation around [Washington] a week ago that something big could come, that the White House needed to trot out something bold ahead of the convention, … I’ve talked to several...

—Greg Valliere

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O’Neill’s gaffs have hurt him. There aren’t a lot of Republicans on the Hill who like him. But he seemed to have the president’s confidence,

—Greg Valliere

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Hurt
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If you look at who the markets would be the most comfortable with, and that has to be one of the top criteria, then Feldstein has got to be the No. 1 pick,

—Greg Valliere

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That’s the question, certainly, for all our clients on Wall Street. They’re resigned to Clinton getting re-elected, but the real issue is if it’s not by 10 points, but by 18 or 19 — if...

—Greg Valliere

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The key variable here is the consumer. As of now, consumer spending is way down so that may be the most critical thing they’ll look at,

—Greg Valliere

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Are there any real protectionist proposals that have chance of enactment? No. The most negative thing I would say is that the prospects for further trade liberalization are not great, but what we’ve got in...

—Greg Valliere

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I think William Webster is a man of unquestionable integrity, but he doesn’t really understand that business.

—Greg Valliere

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Business
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I think what we all are hoping for is resolution sooner rather than later. I’m not sure that Gore’s speech at noon today would reinforce the belief that this would get wrapped up quickly. (Some)...

—Greg Valliere

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Resolution
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Right now the markets are viewing this as if it’s going to be quick and painless.

—Greg Valliere

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The Red Sox won four games in a row after being down three nothing, so anything is possible,but I think the markets would perceive this as a long shot. I think at some point today...

—Greg Valliere

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Games
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I think at the Fed they believe we’re getting near full employment. You’ve got unit labor costs going up. If we get a very strong jobs number, I don’t totally rule out a 50-basis point...

—Greg Valliere

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Labor
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It’s changed a lot of thinking about earnings in the second quarter,

—Greg Valliere

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