Gorman coming over changes the whole landscape. It’s a fresh slate.
The question is when does the economy recover and to what extent does it recover?
I think we can see the market continue to move up through the summer, but it’s going to depend on the earnings and the economic news. We should begin to see some evidence of an economic pick-up in the July data, which will start to come out early August. Second-quarter earnings look to be favorable,...
We’ve seen a very volatile stock market since February. Different styles and sectors, like technology or financials, coming in and out of favor with no clear direction. There’s nothing really wrong with techs. They are certainly somewhat highly valued by any historic measure, but probably not as highly valued as they were in February. We...
The [sharp rise in] futures this morning reflected strong earnings, and we do think earnings are strong and the economy is strong, … It is a possible that if earnings keep coming in strong that there will be a reconnect with the markets and corporate performance.
The little bear-market rally we saw earlier and yesterday just ran out of buyers.
We’re into a bit of the summer doldrums. There have been a lot of positive earnings surprises, but the anticipation of that has lifted markets for months, with little proof that the economy is improving enough to justify those earnings. So the mood is more upbeat, but that hasn’t translated to higher stock prices.
I think early January should live up to its reputation as a pretty good time of year for stocks.
We want to be in cheaper tech stocks, and companies like IBM that haven’t lowered guidance,
I think it’s a marriage made in heaven, … First of all, it gives Allied leadership for the future. Honeywell brings with it some strong management and that was a concern to AlliedSignal shareholders. There are cost-cutting and synergy opportunities. This is going to be a major force going forward.
Markets don’t go straight up, nor should they. What we’re seeing today is very necessary. You want to see a series of small ups and smaller downs, with new investors coming back in and buying the dips. This period of selling is nothing more sinister than that.
The talk is that the Fed is going to be getting more aggressive soon, and may start raising rates by 50 basis points at a time. It’s not going to happen this time, because (Fed Chairman) Alan Greenspan knows he needs to prepare the market for this in advance.
Obviously very leveraged to the financial markets, … When stocks are going up, this stock should do better than the market. When stocks go down, it should do worse than the market. So, there is risk here. But, it’s the most diversified of the major broker dealers.
I just think there’s nothing that’s come out over the last couple of days that counters the primary issues (that) the market has been punished for over the last couple of months, which is loss of investor confidence over corporate malfeasance, accounting and terrorism,
The impression is that corporations are being increasingly cautious in their projections for the first quarter, which is a trend that you’ve seen for the last few quarters. I think the companies are taking current economic and business conditions and projecting them onto the future earnings, rather than incorporating the impact the improving economy might...
(We like) stocks with a moderately high dividend give that stock support. So, companies like the tobacco stocks, if you can handle the ethical issue of investing in tobacco, which we certainly do for our clients who don’t have that issue, … These are high dividend stocks. The dividend is very secure. That’s a great...
Ford Motor warned Friday and that type of news is pressuring stocks,
We’re seeing volume but no volatility in prices. And I think that just shows you that a lot of people are away and people are not making major moves. But next week, when everyone comes back from the Labor Day weekend it tends to be a big week and they really put the foot to...
There have been few negative pre-announcements and a number of positive ones, … Third-quarter earnings should be strong and that should continue to support the stock market. But there will always be pullbacks and volatility. There’s always the potential for people to sell the news and you may see that in the short term.