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Tim Evans  Quotes
The market is certainly tightened by this event.

—Tim Evans

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There’s a lot of people who want to do the right thing. My kids are out in the orchard, too. I don’t want to poison them.

—Tim Evans

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Kids
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In a ballroom, all you can do is dance and eat. We wanted to provide more than just dancing. They ate and danced, and when they got tired, they went out and looked at exhibits....

—Tim Evans

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Dancing
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There is nothing close to a physical shortage going on here. Instead, what the market is holding here is a significant, and in fact growing, implied risk premium.

—Tim Evans

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This is really a happy accident as far as OPEC is concerned.

—Tim Evans

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The overall impression I had is that this [report] is really a snapshot that reflects conditions last Tuesday rather than as of Friday. This data does not fully reflect the arrival of Hurricane Rita.

—Tim Evans

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It’s staging what I would call a catch-up move. After resisting the upward pull of silver all week long, the market couldn’t hold back any more and is making up for lost time here.

—Tim Evans

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This is really just some short-term consolidation. We are inside of yesterday’s range.

—Tim Evans

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Consolidation
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Stocks have a tendency toward a counter-seasonal rise in early January … but the mild readings this time around make a further 2 to 3 million barrel build more likely than the 1.1 million barrel...

—Tim Evans

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The fact that their pricing mechanism is market-related minimizes the risk that a physical shortage would arise.

—Tim Evans

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Risk
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This would be completely benign.

—Tim Evans

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We wanted to connect with people as strongly as some of our great advertising campaigns of the past did — such as with Beattie with Maureen Lipman or Bob Hoskins in ‘It’s good to talk’...

—Tim Evans

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Profit-taking was the most widely employed term for what (happened Friday), but we see the potential for this simple turn to develop into a much more substantial decline, as the fundamentals behind the push higher...

—Tim Evans

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Potential
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Africa has 2.3 workers per 1,000 people. The Americas have 24.8 per 1,000 people. If you are a doctor in Africa, you have 10 fold (more) diseases to deal with compared to your colleagues in...

—Tim Evans

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People
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There is a very strong consensus that gold will continue its trend higher this year and that, in itself, is a warning sign.

—Tim Evans

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Gold
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If we were to see another major storm, we could have damage on damage.

—Tim Evans

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The markets are all doing their best spin jobs off the latest round of DOE data, but there were really no significant surprises. The overall economic importance of the data is still bearish.

—Tim Evans

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Jobs
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Everything pretty much came within the range of expectations so there were no dramatic surprises here.

—Tim Evans

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Despite the surprise 1.3 million-barrel drop in DOE crude stocks for last week, inventories in the market remain near April 1999 highs.

—Tim Evans

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A 40-cent rise in gasoline prices does not stimulate demand, and frankly this is where I think many macroeconomic forecasts for 2006 are going to miss the mark.

—Tim Evans

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He’s a politician, though. He’s definitely more of a politician than some judges, … He moves around in political circles, goes to the political fundraisers and stuff like that.

—Tim Evans

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If you’re talking about a 400,000 barrels per day refinery next to a French Chateau in the Loire valley, the timeline is infinite. If you’re looking at an industrialized part that already includes an oil...

—Tim Evans

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It’s having trouble getting out of its own way. Fundamentally, the CPI data from this morning was really quite mixed.

—Tim Evans

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Trouble
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There still may be ample opportunity for price chopping off storm updates over the balance of the week, but the market is looking considerably more relaxed today.

—Tim Evans

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Heating oil and natural gas are…faced with significant warming trends that have brought an abrupt end to the heating season.

—Tim Evans

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In January, it was Iran and Nigeria. Now we have Saudi Arabia added to the list and with the heightened unrest, possibly Iraq.

—Tim Evans

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[The report is] bullish relative to expectations, … In the grand scheme of things, I don’t think that the drop in crude oil stocks is necessarily an indication of a sea change.

—Tim Evans

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The oil companies themselves aren’t interested in building new refineries and will tend to denigrate the chances of any new investors actually succeeding in their business. They’ll say, ‘What does Richard Branson know about oil...

—Tim Evans

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This would be bullish for gold.

—Tim Evans

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Gold
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There is some risk that if the cruise missiles start to fly, that it will disrupt both the current Iraqi exports [and] also interfere with shipping in the Persian Gulf area.

—Tim Evans

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Risk
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Really, we’ve had some focus (on oil) since mid-February, when both markets made a significant low, and both markets had a near retest of those lows on Wednesday. Oil is emerging as the focus for...

—Tim Evans

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Focus
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They can continue to pump away and ring the cash register, ignoring the looming Q2 supply/demand surplus just like everyone else.

—Tim Evans

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I’m not sure this is the start of a new trend in crude oil stocks and it probably reflects more of a desire on the part of refiners to limit the material they hold than...

—Tim Evans

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It is a surprising report in just about all respects. But I think it is something that we have to expect in times like these that the data doesn’t always fit into a neat little...

—Tim Evans

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The market does have its ongoing concerns about Iran, the new bombing campaign in Iraq and other potential threats to supply (Nigeria, Venezuela) in mind as background issues.

—Tim Evans

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Iraq
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A Bush status quo results in somewhat higher oil prices both in the short and the longer term in my view,

—Tim Evans

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From the current snapshot, (electricity) conditions look a lot more similar to last year than they appear different.

—Tim Evans

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Electricity
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We’ve rung the bell at $600 and now we’re perhaps ready to consolidate before we consider higher price levels.

—Tim Evans

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The laws of economics still apply and higher prices call forth more supply while dampening demand. The long view of the market’s history, filled with booms and busts, is on our side.

—Tim Evans

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Economy
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I’m surprised by the drop in crude stocks and the further decline in crude oil imports,

—Tim Evans

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The downside looks wide open at this point. We’ve got lots of inventory, and worldwide supply is going to continue to grow into the year.

—Tim Evans

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In the short run, it means more oil drained from the market into the Strategic Petroleum Reserve.

—Tim Evans

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The numbers are sufficient, but there are major constraints. There is a huge mal-distribution of workers in the country and most health workers are found in urban areas.

—Tim Evans

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Country
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It is pretty clear they were attempting to move this oil into a crude oil market where there was already a surplus.

—Tim Evans

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The gasoline build is substantial and it confirms the price weakness we’ve been seeing over the last several days.

—Tim Evans

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I was looking for a rebound in imports as some of the activity along the Gulf Coast came back to normal.

—Tim Evans

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The market will ultimately decide how critical the developments in Iran and Nigeria are, but we see the upside potential as limited, given stock levels.

—Tim Evans

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Potential
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The bulls are trying to put up a fight here, trying to make a case that the build in stocks and the drop in price over the past month haven’t really hurt all that bad.

—Tim Evans

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Trying
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The situation is not going to get better in the short term. Perhaps it will get worse.

—Tim Evans

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The markets are bracing for Thursday’s DOE reports, with traders cringing since the recent (supply) trends have been bearish.

—Tim Evans

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