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David Wyss  Quotes
They have to accumulate dollars to keep the yuan down relative to the dollar. But since China has moved to peg the yuan to a market basket of currencies, instead of just the dollar, it’s...

—David Wyss

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This may mean less change in the Fed statement on Tuesday, and increases the chances of a rate hike in March.

—David Wyss

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Come hell or high water, Mr. Greenspan is going to keep tightening until he leaves. He has already proven that high water won’t stop him.

—David Wyss

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Hell
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Somebody was going to have to slow the (U.S.) economy down and Asia is now doing the Fed’s work for it.

—David Wyss

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Economy
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The data show that Americans are ill-prepared for retirement, and gained virtually no ground over these three years. The low saving rate and weaker returns in the stock market held back wealth, despite strong gains...

—David Wyss

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I think the hurricanes had less impact than we thought they were going to. They had a negative impact, but people were able to shift things around, and critical services came back quicker than expected.

—David Wyss

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Hurricanes
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When oil prices are pushed higher by demand rather than supply shortfall, people have time to adjust. We just keep on trucking.

—David Wyss

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I don’t think there’s any cliff you suddenly walk off. I’m not going to worry about a recession until we get up to $100 a barrel.

—David Wyss

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Recession
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The problem is natural gas, and how bad that is depends on how bad the winter is going to be and it’s not starting off well. It’s cold.

—David Wyss

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Greenspan has had the most successful tenure in Fed history. He kept inflation under very tight control while avoiding any major recessions.

—David Wyss

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These are generally very good numbers and another sign that the Fed is going to be raising interest rates sooner rather than later.

—David Wyss

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Interest Rates
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If you’re going to buy bonds, that’s the place to be.

—David Wyss

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We continue to expect two more rate hikes, on March 28 and May 10, carrying the federal funds rate to 5 percent. However, any rise in inflation or acceleration in growth could send the funds...

—David Wyss

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If you take out gas and cars, sales were basically flat. Consumers are getting more cautious.

—David Wyss

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Sales
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My guess is things will cool abruptly; the question is do they do it by June 29.

—David Wyss

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The second quarter is shaping up to be stronger than expected.

—David Wyss

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It was one of the worst days in U.S. financial history, and he dealt with the repercussions very well.

—David Wyss

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History
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Your next European vacation is going to cost a lot more, and you’re going to see lot more European tourists running around New York.

—David Wyss

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We did see a bit of acceleration in wages. We were up 0.4 percent in January. That may be good news for the workers, but it is something that is going to make the Federal...

—David Wyss

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Your guess on where oil prices are going to go is as good as mine. It just depends on the Middle East and who knows what is going to happen there.

—David Wyss

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They like inflation where it is now. But they’re worried that it’s creeping up.

—David Wyss

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Inflation
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It is rather encouraging that the Fed is pointing toward a pause after the May hike. A lot of us were getting concerned that the hikes would continue into June and August. And one of...

—David Wyss

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Economy
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People see energy prices going up and they get a little worried about what they can afford to spend money on.

—David Wyss

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Energy
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I don’t know whether he’s going to have much input, but it would shock me if he didn’t have some. He’s talking to the people at the board who are writing this stuff and making...

—David Wyss

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The times they are a-changing.

—David Wyss

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We have a real savings shortfall.

—David Wyss

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That’s what people say but probably not what they do.

—David Wyss

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People
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We expect the stock market to have another mild gain, sort of like it did in 2005. We’re looking for the market to up about 6% by the end of the year.

—David Wyss

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There is still no inflation out there.

—David Wyss

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Inflation
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The only inflation out there is energy.

—David Wyss

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We had expected to see a bigger rebound. On the other hand, some of the pain is lifted by the fact that they did revise up both November and December, so things are still looking...

—David Wyss

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Pain
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Consumers are spending their little hearts out. We are doing pretty darn good.

—David Wyss

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Consumers
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We can’t run econometric models. The numbers aren’t good enough.

—David Wyss

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The real question is not what he does, but what he says.

—David Wyss

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We’re expecting oil prices to continue to come down. They’re now about $60. We expect to be down around $50 by the end of the year.

—David Wyss

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We don’t seem to be having any trouble financing our large and growing trade deficits.

—David Wyss

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Back when the program was created, elderly people were dying because they had nothing to eat and no health care. Social Security has been incredibly successful at virtually eliminating poverty among the elderly.

—David Wyss

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Elderly
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In Japan’s case, back in 2003-2004, they feared the yen would drop too much in value and they intervened heavily in the currency markets. Then, Japan ceased intervening over the last year or so —...

—David Wyss

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Value
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I think the core trumps the energy prices. We know about energy prices and it’s an accident about when they collect price data during the month.

—David Wyss

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Energy Prices
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There is just no spare refining capacity around to deal with these losses. We don’t have any cushion.

—David Wyss

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I don’t think he wants the markets to start thinking about the things he might change. I think he wants to take it easy at first.

—David Wyss

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Consumer spending may slow down a bit more than thought. But, it won’t drive us into a recession – that would probably take oil going well over $100 a barrel.

—David Wyss

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Politically, I wouldn’t raise rates on the 20th. Raising rates when you are trying to recover from a disaster like this is sending the wrong message.

—David Wyss

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Disaster
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It is a good time for the government to start locking in long-term rates before they go higher. Corporations are doing it, so why shouldn’t the government?

—David Wyss

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This is the continuing story of the rich getting richer. Clearly, the gains in wealth are going to the top end.

—David Wyss

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Wealth
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It looks sort of in line with expectations, with some strength — for example a rebound in communications and machinery, but also some disturbing continued weakness in the computer sector.

—David Wyss

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The Fed doesn’t like to switch policy very quickly. Unless something goes wrong, I think they are going to stop (after the March move) and hold rates there for an extended period.

—David Wyss

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We might have a lower unemployment rate and a somewhat lower gross domestic product, but it wouldn’t be a huge impact.

—David Wyss

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Unemployment
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Energy is the big wild card. We just don’t know where prices will be. It will be a question of how fast oil refineries and oil pipelines come back.

—David Wyss

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There is no change for the Fed. They are more focused on the real economy. They are looking for any sign that core inflation is going up.

—David Wyss

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Economy
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