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Carolyn Kwan  Quotes
Basically whatever high level of investment there last year, there will be even more this year. But we have some good gains in other areas too.

—Carolyn Kwan

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With the commodity prices easing, especially oil and natural gas, the expectation is that the Canadian dollar would actually come down somewhat.

—Carolyn Kwan

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It looks like the Canadian dollar has really recovered. Part of the reason has to do with the commodity story.

—Carolyn Kwan

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Today’s number might represent some upside risk to that.

—Carolyn Kwan

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Even with the Canadian dollar appreciating some 6 U.S. cents through the year, both exports and imports in 2005 surged to record high levels.

—Carolyn Kwan

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Everything this week is going to be hinging on the Bank of Canada early on — there are also some important data points which should be supportive overall — but the question really is the...

—Carolyn Kwan

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A rise in longer-term bond yields would arguably be seen as doing some of the Fed’s tightening work.

—Carolyn Kwan

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We’re still expecting one more rate increase and I think this probably should not have too much of an impact overall.

—Carolyn Kwan

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The Bank of Canada is more likely to move more than the U.S..

—Carolyn Kwan

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The strength in this component, which includes apparel and home entertainment goods, bodes well for Christmas retail sales.

—Carolyn Kwan

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There were probably industrial prices that were helping support the Canadian dollar and also some of the data that we’ll get at the end of the week could be on the strong side.

—Carolyn Kwan

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I suppose the Ivey may be having some small effects, but we don’t think it should be. Fundamentally we don’t think there’s been any real shift in the Canadian economy.

—Carolyn Kwan

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It is likely that the level of starts in both months was helped by milder than normal weather (the previous month, for example, was the strongest level of starts since January 1987), though they still...

—Carolyn Kwan

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The business conditions survey is going to take center stage for Canada, maybe in particular because the Canadian dollar seems to be playing an important role in the Bank of Canada’s thinking now.

—Carolyn Kwan

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Business
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We’ll be watching the commodity prices again for the next little while in terms of direction for the Canadian dollar. We’ve gone through now C$1.14 and we’re in a new range again.

—Carolyn Kwan

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We’ve had quite a significant appreciation this week, and I think this is sort of a holding pattern before we get the Bank of Canada next week.

—Carolyn Kwan

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Appreciation
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The jobs number was a blowout. It was strong across the board.

—Carolyn Kwan

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Commodity currencies are being hit particularly hard but other currencies are holding up well as interest rate expectations for the other two regions are rising.

—Carolyn Kwan

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Commodity
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It’s difficult to pinpoint the move on any one thing at this point, but with the commodity prices coming off, that could be one of the factors.

—Carolyn Kwan

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They probably will not explicitly (address it.) But there are several ways in which they can bring that up and talk about it in terms of global risk and the adjustment to international terms of...

—Carolyn Kwan

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The Bank of Canada has talked about the risks to 2007 on the downside. We would see the Canadian dollar weakening.

—Carolyn Kwan

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I think the next interest rate increase is pretty much anticipated. We (forecast) another interest rate increase coming right after that as well, we think this is pretty supportive of that.

—Carolyn Kwan

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The overall tone of the report is pretty mediocre at this point.

—Carolyn Kwan

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The U.S. economic releases were not particularly outside of expectations in any way.

—Carolyn Kwan

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With the stronger trade surplus, I would have expected the Canadian dollar to do a little bit better, except of course at the same time the U.S. trade deficit came in smaller than expected. As...

—Carolyn Kwan

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While this is the largest monthly decline in nearly five years, the fall is entirely attributable to civilian aircraft, as non-defense aircraft orders returned to a normal pace, after a stunningly strong December.

—Carolyn Kwan

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The main factor behind the Canadian dollar appreciation is likely the expectation of tomorrow’s Bank of Canada statement accompanying the widely expected hike.

—Carolyn Kwan

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This is a supportive report for Bank of Canada’s ‘modest’ rate hike plans — good growth, but lower imported costs.

—Carolyn Kwan

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There’s very little direction. Everyone’s tuning into (the payrolls figures) especially since the Fed has been talking about watching incoming data for guidance on how they’re going to move in March.

—Carolyn Kwan

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Direction
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In terms of how it affected financial markets, it did have an immediate impact, but I don’t think it’s long-lasting at this point until we know a little bit further what the situation is surrounding...

—Carolyn Kwan

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Every one of them gets to be pretty important when considering the Fed is going to be watching the data ever more closely to figure out where interest rates are going.

—Carolyn Kwan

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