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Alfred Kugel  Quotes
The fundamentals are still there. We have low inflation, low interest rates and a worldwide demand for American products I don’t think you have a problem as far as the market going up.

—Alfred Kugel

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Inflation
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People were worried the financial companies wouldn’t have a strong earnings trend because of the flat yield curve, but now it’s been flat for a while, and the earnings are still coming through.

—Alfred Kugel

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People
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Since we don’t have a lot of economic data, the most important will be durable goods.

—Alfred Kugel

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Generally the market will tend to go in the opposite direction of oil prices and sometimes oil shares, but that didn’t happen today yet.

—Alfred Kugel

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Direction
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The market has done pretty well this week. I think the fund managers that took a more cautious stance after Hurricane Katrina may be doing a little buying now, but it’s a quiet day.

—Alfred Kugel

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Earnings are coming in ‘in line’ with expectations. We should still be up 15 percent year-over-year and that’s better than we did in the first half.

—Alfred Kugel

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Some of the things that worried people, that the economy was slowing too much, that inflation was rising too much, have been assuaged here by the numbers we got this morning.

—Alfred Kugel

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Economy
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You don’t bet the farm but you need to be putting some money in as you find stocks that look attractive.

—Alfred Kugel

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Money
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Unemployment claims were OK. I suspect we’re still in for low volatility sliding up to the close tomorrow. I don’t expect any big moves in either direction. That’s disappointing, given that the week between Christmas...

—Alfred Kugel

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Unemployment
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This was a big psychological negative and I think it was one of those things that triggered off the decline in tech stocks last summer. So the removal of the threat of breakup is a...

—Alfred Kugel

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This changed the whole psychology of the market from one of disappointment to one of optimism.

—Alfred Kugel

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Disappointment
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You really have a two-tier market with tech stocks going down and everything else going up. Part of this is because valuations in technology stocks got overdone this year and, at the same time, the...

—Alfred Kugel

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Market
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Now it looks like the Fed might raise rates at the January meeting, and that might be it.

—Alfred Kugel

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They’re now looking at a situation where their shareholders are going to see the fund is down for the year but they’re going to have to pay taxes on large gains. The managers are selling...

—Alfred Kugel

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Inflation seems very unlikely to me in the current economic environment. We have huge amounts of production capacity and plenty of labor around the world, especially in China and India.

—Alfred Kugel

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Environment
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At the moment there are no concerns on the immediate horizon.

—Alfred Kugel

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There’s a lot of bad news priced into the market, … If things turn out not to be as bad as discounted, we will have a rally this summer, and we will end the year...

—Alfred Kugel

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News
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We have a lot of cross currents right now and so it’s very difficult for investors to pick out the proper path. People like myself think that things are in fact slowing down some, that...

—Alfred Kugel

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I would guess this will be another weak report and that, I think, will keep the Fed on its path of easing, … In a perverse way, the market will like it because they’ll think...

—Alfred Kugel

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have been beating the drums about worrying about higher inflation, and so far, other than energy, we haven’t had higher inflation. (But) I would say earnings are doing quite well, so I think that’s helped...

—Alfred Kugel

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Energy
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We’ve now changed the valuation of the stock market quite a bit, … If anything, the earnings estimates have been going up and stocks have been going down. The price-to-earnings ratio on forward earnings is...

—Alfred Kugel

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