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Paul Nolte  Quotes
We ran out of gas after yesterday’s large advance. We only had earnings news from a couple companies today, and that couldn’t carry us.

—Paul Nolte

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We’re getting a moderation in bond yields, and energy prices came down today. We’re looking at things more favorably than this morning. There’s still residual analysis about the Federal Reserve, and we’re seeing some gamesmanship...

—Paul Nolte

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We still like the fact that we’re in an environment where no matter what happens in the economy, they (pharmaceutical companies) are still going to be doing business.

—Paul Nolte

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Already the futures markets are pricing in another rate hike and talk about a 5.0-plus fed funds rate is making the rounds. The currently inverted yield curve may also be a signal to the Fed...

—Paul Nolte

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So what is an investor to do?

—Paul Nolte

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What a difference a week makes, from improprieties in the Japanese markets to still-higher oil prices amid diplomatic rumblings in the Middle East to less than stellar earnings.

—Paul Nolte

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We’re struggling with higher energy prices and also the rise in bonds, which is providing some competition for stocks.

—Paul Nolte

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We have some continuation of the good news from yesterday.

—Paul Nolte

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News
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If you look at how the markets have been trading the last few days, we’re seeing a much broader decline. We’re not seeing a leader that can carry the day. It’s not limited to a...

—Paul Nolte

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On a year-over-year basis, the inflation figures are not anything to be concerned about.

—Paul Nolte

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Inflation
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Few companies are pounding the table and saying things are terrific so there’s not the wild enthusiasm you would expect with a good earnings season,

—Paul Nolte

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are supportive of higher stock prices.

—Paul Nolte

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But that’s more of a short-term phenomenon than anything worth paying a lot of attention to, … it’s going to come down to better economic numbers.

—Paul Nolte

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We have strong volume on down days, and weak volume on up days. That’s the trend for the last couple weeks. That’s telling that investors are more interested in selling than they are buying.

—Paul Nolte

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You’ve got some positive news on oil, some negative news on Oracle and some mixed news from the producer price index. When you net it all out, the market is going to be sitting back...

—Paul Nolte

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We’re still seeing reasonable growth in the economy … and investors are figuring this is going to translate into strength in earnings.

—Paul Nolte

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We could see a 3 to 5 percent rally and still be within the context of a declining market,

—Paul Nolte

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Searching through the Alphabet Soup

—Paul Nolte

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Investors are chasing commodity prices. Until we fall even lower, though, we’re still in a trading range. We’ll be very focused on inflation for the rest of the week. Economic numbers are coming a little...

—Paul Nolte

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[Hickel:] Karl Marx’s key error is the idea that capitalism develops according to laws, that these laws are described by the tendency of the profit rate to drop, and that in the long run the...

—Paul Nolte

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Capitalism
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Greenspan is not going to wake up in June of next year and say ‘I should have really raised rates more aggressively.’ His legacy of price stability is pretty secure so I don’t think the...

—Paul Nolte

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The economic numbers are driving the bus. As long as the numbers remain kind of weak, if it doesn’t look like we’re getting much of a turnaround, then markets can continue to slide.

—Paul Nolte

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Stocks have had a real tough time maintaining gains this whole week. When we start taking a look around, gains tend to evaporate. Today, investors are looking at tech leaders. Those stocks are where the...

—Paul Nolte

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Investors are starting to realize that earnings aren’t terrific. For every good earnings report, there are three or four to the downside. It also seems that the bigger names are the ones disappointing.

—Paul Nolte

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Earnings
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There is some concern over drugs coming off of patents and the expense of those drugs, and in some cases, such as with Pfizer and Merck, the efficacy issues, … But we still can’t get...

—Paul Nolte

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The ISM report did have a big impact on the markets, and part of the reason is that the economy is now more of a service economy. And services are going to be much more...

—Paul Nolte

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After a nice rally, investors are just taking a little bit of money off the table.

—Paul Nolte

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Money
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We went from being expensive 10 years ago to crazy expensive, and now we’re back to just expensive.

—Paul Nolte

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Now, instead of every bit of good news being hailed as the latest sign of recovery, it is being scorned as another nail in the coffin for easy money.

—Paul Nolte

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News
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I don’t see inflation as a big deal in the classic sense. There are no wage pressures and no cost overruns. We’re seeing inflation mainly in the price of gas and other commodities,

—Paul Nolte

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Inflation
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The important decisions haven’t been made yet. You get the impression that there’s not much really moving and ask yourself whether the optimism is really justified.

—Paul Nolte

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Ask
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But whether the market is going to have the staying power beyond today, I think we will be able to determine that toward the close,

—Paul Nolte

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Wednesday was a pretty good day. For that to continue, I would expect a recovery [on Thursday], and ideally in that last hour of trading.

—Paul Nolte

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I don’t expect to see a sharp movement in stocks — it will be a gradual erosion over time.

—Paul Nolte

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Overall it doesn’t look too bad. The prices paid is a concern. We’d like to see it come down a little. It’s an inflationary key.

—Paul Nolte

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The numbers are good from the Fed’s perspective, even with November’s ramped up numbers. Job growth is still slow and wage pressure has been nonexistent all year. If trends continue it could put pressure on...

—Paul Nolte

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We may have broken out of our trading range, but we would like to see some follow-through before we commit additional dollars to the market.

—Paul Nolte

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Right now sentiment is all loaded on one side of the market. It gives you the idea we’re running late in the game — we may be in the process of putting in a short-term...

—Paul Nolte

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So what is an investor to do? Based on Friday’s response, it may yet be a long dark winter.

—Paul Nolte

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The upgrades are certainly helping Intel and Exxon, and that’s boosting the Dow.

—Paul Nolte

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If you look at the difference between PPI and CPI, the numbers have been in favor of PPI. What that means is that corporations are still struggling to pass through price hikes. We should see...

—Paul Nolte

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The foreign markets are on an absolute tear, so there’s some thought that the liquidity might start coming back into the U.S. markets.

—Paul Nolte

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We’re still absorbing a lot of things. The risks right now are certainly still with the bond market. It’s providing some good competition for stocks.

—Paul Nolte

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To a certain extent, Bush’s speech about increased spending in the U.S. Gulf Coast is helping the market. I am not too terribly surprised that consumer confidence is low because the number is colored by...

—Paul Nolte

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Speech
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If you look at the difference between [the producer price index] and CPI, the numbers have been in favor of PPI. What that means is that corporations are still struggling to pass through price hikes....

—Paul Nolte

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We’re just having a very shallow correction after a strong week.

—Paul Nolte

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Correction
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Those that are left to trade seem to be going through the motions until year-end. The economic news today was expected based on last week’s CPI number, so it was no surprise and couldn’t sustain...

—Paul Nolte

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News
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I know people are focusing in on the dollar, but if we take a look at last week’s strong action, our view at least, is that the underlying economy does not warrant it.

—Paul Nolte

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