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Larry Wachtel  Quotes
The earnings numbers are still respectable, but they are softening. The psychology is that you can’t make projections about future earnings without having some sense about where the price of oil is going and what...

—Larry Wachtel

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Future
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Second quarter is going to be excellent. Remember when the first quarter was reported in April, we had a 1,000-point gain in the Dow, and that was only a 10-percent (earnings) gain.

—Larry Wachtel

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I’m amazed at how well the market has held. This sideways action shows a very strong market.

—Larry Wachtel

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Action
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I’m expecting more of the same.

—Larry Wachtel

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so you can see how narrow (the rally) really is.

—Larry Wachtel

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Rising long rates threaten the bellwether housing industry as well as consumer spending. The higher [bond] returns begin to compete with stocks for institutional affection.

—Larry Wachtel

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Translated, the Microsoft ruling was a major event, but it was so predictable as to have little immediate impact.

—Larry Wachtel

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Cyclical stocks are helping the Dow today. Morgan Stanley upgraded some chemical stocks and that’s giving cyclical stocks — paper, chemicals — a boost.

—Larry Wachtel

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On Friday, we had a ratio of 12 to 1 of losers to winners. That’s the worst performance since 1997. We also had over 3,000 declining issues. This shows real weakness.

—Larry Wachtel

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Performance
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We’re going through this pre-announcement period where all the gloom and all the doom and all the negative statements are being made.

—Larry Wachtel

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Basically, the (people on the) sidelines are coming in. The economic signals are just too strong to ignore.

—Larry Wachtel

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People
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The fundamentals have undercut any efforts for the market to rally on Iraq news,

—Larry Wachtel

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The two biggies after the close (Tuesday) — Microsoft and Intel — were OK but certainly not a market turn-on,

—Larry Wachtel

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A quarter-point rate hike would send a message of steady as she goes.

—Larry Wachtel

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This is all promulgated by overseas markets. We started with the festering Asian situation, Russia then spilled over into Latin America, and Wall Street has trouble dealing with all these overseas situations.

—Larry Wachtel

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Russia
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Negative guidance from Intel kicked off a new selling wave in beleaguered technology, while the February job figures turned out to be strong enough to raise some doubts about aggressive Federal Reserve ease.

—Larry Wachtel

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Gimme a break, … Where do we go from there?

—Larry Wachtel

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Cisco reports earnings tomorrow (Tuesday) and certainly that stock is at a price where there may be a split.

—Larry Wachtel

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It’s not like stocks are sitting there unloved. They have done well.

—Larry Wachtel

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We say it again and again, but it’s true that everything depends on the consumer, since around 70% of our economy is based around consumer spending.

—Larry Wachtel

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Rising rates won’t hurt the new techies, but they might impact the ‘old economy’ customers,

—Larry Wachtel

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Economy
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We’ve been down for six weeks on the S&P 500, and if you stretch a rubber band enough, it’s going to snap back, … The question is ‘is this a head fake or will it...

—Larry Wachtel

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This is the first day of the month, you may have seen some end-of-the-month portfolio selling dissipating, … And this is the day that Microsoft is distributing $33 billion in cash, so there is some...

—Larry Wachtel

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It was a pretty dismal day. We’re really in oversold conditions at this point.

—Larry Wachtel

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The Microsoft delay has hurt the Nasdaq and will reverberate throughout all of technology. That will be today’s big headline. We closed ragged yesterday, so we’re going to have a tired market to start.

—Larry Wachtel

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Delay
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So far the earnings season is kind of a mixed bag. It’s not the catalyst that everyone was expecting it to be. Nokia was disappointing, Apple was positive and Citigroup is in the middle. We’re...

—Larry Wachtel

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I don’t think the money managers are going to go rushing into stocks just simply because we got to Dow 10,000.

—Larry Wachtel

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The traders wanted 75 basis points (three-quarter percentage point) so they sold on the news. After the traders sold, investors stepped up to the plate (to sell).

—Larry Wachtel

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News
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[Tuesday’s] trading will be drab because of meat and potatoes issues, not a Kerry/Edwards combo.

—Larry Wachtel

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There’s a cautious backdrop (on Wall Street). We’re heading to that glide path toward the Fed meeting. I think there has been a gravitation toward the cyclical stocks and away from the blue chips. And...

—Larry Wachtel

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The bull market only ends on a fundamental reason. It ends if inflation rises and rates rise. It ends if profits dive. It doesn’t end because the Dow goes down on a random day based...

—Larry Wachtel

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The market finished sloppy yesterday and it rolled over into today. We’ve been resilient, though. We’re coming to the end of the quarter, so there’s a lot of speculation popping up as to what [earnings]...

—Larry Wachtel

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Attention will be focused on the statement that follows the 2:15 p.m. ET rate announcement, as it will give us a better indication on the Fed’s future course of action. Noteworthy is that the tendency...

—Larry Wachtel

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What does Buffett know? He’s only worth $18 billion. I think he has warned of this in the past. And, indeed, he’s right on blue chips There has been a gravitation toward the cyclical stocks...

—Larry Wachtel

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People will move along at an unhurried pace. No one is rushing to get in, and yet there are bargains around, so we’re in this range-bound atmosphere.

—Larry Wachtel

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It’s been a slightly negative day, but after three good days and three good months, I fail to see how this is going to be a significant problem. It’s just a breather today.

—Larry Wachtel

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However, the history of the stock market is that everyone sells into the strength. So I’ll be taking it one hour at a time. I’m in a show-me mood today.

—Larry Wachtel

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History
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a buffer to the downside.

—Larry Wachtel

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I’d be a selective buyer.

—Larry Wachtel

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There are many facets to the market. One facet has been that money managers have been willing to dip their toe in the water.

—Larry Wachtel

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I think the market has done quite well in what is supposed to be the worst month of the year, but at some point you’re going to run into an overbought condition.

—Larry Wachtel

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Market
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The Dow is dopey, … It gained 1,000 points since mid-April. That’s impressive. If it falls 100 points, so be it.

—Larry Wachtel

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Clearly, the gulf between technology and the rest of the market was so wide it was impossible to sustain. And there had to be a correction somewhere and the correction is under way.

—Larry Wachtel

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It’s a catch-22. If any of these numbers comes in too strong, it’s going to hurt stocks because it means the Fed is going to keep hiking.

—Larry Wachtel

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Hurt
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I’m really amazed [The market] is getting tired, but invariably in the last hour of trading there’s a cavalry charge and we close at a new high.

—Larry Wachtel

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Confession may be good for the soul, but not on Wall Street. The negative pre-announcements that have been with us for the past two weeks has begun to accelerate with 21 confessions yesterday (Wednesday) and...

—Larry Wachtel

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Suddenly these inflation figures have a psychological impact.

—Larry Wachtel

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Inflation
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It was a very gratifying day. But I’d like to see some follow-through tomorrow (Tuesday).

—Larry Wachtel

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If oil could get down to $35 a barrel, that would be gratuitous. When oil got to $41.85 [last week], the fear was that it would blow off to $50. I don’t know if oil...

—Larry Wachtel

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If it’s just one,’ that’s the whole premise. That this is not the first in a series, this one isolated incident and then we’re on to better things. This is a miscalculation.

—Larry Wachtel

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