It’s still too early to tell exactly where the storm will go, … But conditions are fairly good for intensification, with warm waters and favorable upper-level winds.

We can’t rule it out, but it’s not what we’re forecasting at this time.

It’s better not to nail it down too precisely. Over the next day or so we’ll have a better idea.

Today southern Arizona has already had a third of its annual average rainfall.

There’s not much out there to hold it back.