The risk of intervention may have increased, but it is still not likely,




(No Ratings Yet)The dollar has strengthened even as Federal Reserve tightening expectations have been scaled back.




(No Ratings Yet)In recent years, the U.S. economy has consistently outperformed expectations,




(No Ratings Yet)If the euro threatens to drop below its previous lows, there could be more intervention,




(No Ratings Yet)There will be a lot of talk, but not a lot of position taking until the election results are known.




(No Ratings Yet)The market hasn’t paid much attention to the trade data, but at some stage, they will be a factor.




(No Ratings Yet)The euro is doing fine. It is consolidating, but in general will continue to strengthen.




(No Ratings Yet)The market is far from convinced about the sustainability of the recovery in Japan.




(No Ratings Yet)There’s no reason to think that the latest political developments will correct those imbalances.




(No Ratings Yet)Higher rates will dampen growth, which would be negative for the euro.




(No Ratings Yet)A weaker yen is one of the only levers left to pull, and it’s being pulled.




(No Ratings Yet)But we think there are still some more weak economic data in the pipeline.




(No Ratings Yet)Buying euros and selling yen is a better way to trade the euro recovery story,




(No Ratings Yet)We expect a softer tone to the data after the weakness in the August employment report,




(No Ratings Yet)The dollar is performing well across the board, and capital flows are still very much a factor,




(No Ratings Yet)There are still some signs of tightness in the labor market.




(No Ratings Yet)The European Central Bank is worried that weakness in the euro will result in inflation.




(No Ratings Yet)The downgrade was not a big shock. It had been rumored for months,




(No Ratings Yet)The euro rallied from mid-May to early June on the slower U.S. growth story,




(No Ratings Yet)It’s not helpful for the dollar, but again, it’s not much of a surprise.




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