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Barry Hyman  Quotes
I think there’s a concern about the economy so I think you’ll see conciliatory talk (from Fed governors). We seem to rally into Fed meetings so I would expect a slightly upward bias.

—Barry Hyman

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The reaction [to the Fed minutes] was very emotional, and it is still undecided whether 5% is the end. We look at gold and commodities. These are inflation indicators.

—Barry Hyman

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Emotions
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It was exactly what Wall Street thought. The wording was exact — no hike, sees inflation risk ahead, recent data shows moderating slowdown is still tentative and preliminary, and leaves open (a) rate hike in...

—Barry Hyman

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Inflation
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There’s going to be this flip-flop next week and continually until we get through earnings season, going from earnings to worrying about the economic slowdown and what inflation brings so I think next week is...

—Barry Hyman

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There’s been a decisive shift to the upside in market sentiment. The Dow has done its job and it has made a statement of recovery based upon defensive-style spending, cyclicality and the absence of accounting-related...

—Barry Hyman

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There’s worry about higher interest rates. The bond market has been very weak, and we can assume the higher interest rates are signs of a rebounding economy. This gives people a feeling of comfort, but...

—Barry Hyman

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Interest
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I think this week’s performance has been very indicative of a bottom. The market made a lot of sense this week, since the Fed really helped to ensure the positive psychology that is needed to...

—Barry Hyman

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Performance
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The market is going to want to see in those numbers some clues that the PC market is picking up post-Y2K.

—Barry Hyman

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It is profit warnings and it’s taking down more of the market than it probably should. The profit warnings are very specific to stocks that have not been performing well anyway.

—Barry Hyman

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I think to an extent we’ve taken for granted the last few Fed meetings, and next week’s meeting takes on more significance, … A quarter-point hike is pretty much expected, but I think the relative...

—Barry Hyman

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Meetings
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Traders are just lightening their positions a little bit. The holidays are compressing the activity and I think most of the (options) rolling over you saw yesterday.

—Barry Hyman

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Holidays
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Trading is going to be dominated by waiting for the Federal Reserve Board. We still expect the Fed to go a quarter of a percentage point, and no change in language.

—Barry Hyman

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The market is built on momentum and liquidity, … And when the market comes down, if you want to [look at] the sectors that are undervalued, value stocks [under those circumstances] — they’re not going...

—Barry Hyman

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It is quite astounding. One week revenue-based companies are forbidden (psychologically) from investors’ minds and one week later, as interest rate (fears) return, technology (stock) is the place to be because they are less affected.

—Barry Hyman

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The bias for today and tomorrow should still be to the upside because of the end of the quarter when you get portfolio adjustments.

—Barry Hyman

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The economy is already slowing down without the impact of that 50 basis point hike last month, and I think what you have to look at here is the ending of the interest rate cycle....

—Barry Hyman

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Economy
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It’s going to attract buyers on any pullback.

—Barry Hyman

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The only way I can see why the market is not reacting to several negatives out there is the anticipation of one more (rate) hike and we’re done.

—Barry Hyman

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Anticipation
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The media sector is a great sector to be in,

—Barry Hyman

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Media
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I think there are going to be opportunities to buy the weakness because I think the pre-release season will dominate again ? I don’t think there’s going to be a significant drop, though. There are...

—Barry Hyman

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Most of the growth stories are not performing today and that is how we’ll go into the Fed meeting. There’s still very little conviction in the market.

—Barry Hyman

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Growth
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You have a market on eggshells. The stories that make the rounds are being treated as sell first and then worry about whether they’re true.

—Barry Hyman

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This is more of a short-term perspective and I don’t see any commitment by institutions. But a diversified portfolio is doing well here.

—Barry Hyman

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Commitment
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I believe the Fed will engineer this slowdown and it won’t result in a hard landing,

—Barry Hyman

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Everybody expects people to come back from vacation and the activity to start. The first day is a very lackluster day and people are just getting used to stuff.

—Barry Hyman

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It’s certainly related to the financial sector going down. There is increasing concern that there will be more earnings misses or pre-announcements coming out. A lot of this is (also) options-related.

—Barry Hyman

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The retail sales numbers we saw should have presumed a rally but we had some selling in Hewlett-Packard and NBC Internet. During the day, people started to realize that retail sales were good news.

—Barry Hyman

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Sales
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It’s very focused on the Intel and IBM story today but it’s a fairly flat trading day, … All we’ve done is gain back a little bit of the massive losses. The damage is still...

—Barry Hyman

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Higher interest rates are an impediment to companies where cost is important and that’s Old Economy stocks, … What we are seeing is a defensive move into technology stocks.

—Barry Hyman

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Economy
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I don’t think it changes any [Fed] decision making as we go into Tuesday’s meeting. We are still looking at one-half a percentage point hike. This is the first of the important numbers that determines...

—Barry Hyman

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(Microsoft) has been trading like the company (had already) lost the antitrust case against the government. The stock has been extremely weak compared to its sector and especially since the company has already reported earnings.

—Barry Hyman

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Company
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We seem to go from worries about the economy slowing down to appreciating that the economy remains strong and can bounce back from slower fourth-quarter GDP growth.

—Barry Hyman

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Economy
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The likelihood of inflationary pressures is increasing. The likelihood that the (Federal Reserve) is going to do something is increasing.

—Barry Hyman

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Today’s market is comforting in that it’s back a bit, but it just doesn’t have the feel of yesterday having made a bottom.

—Barry Hyman

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We think 3.5 percent is a good point for the Fed to take a break to measure the economy and the impact of its rate hikes. If the economy does appear to be picking up,...

—Barry Hyman

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Economy
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I think the movement we’ve seen since the beginning of the year, with a few weeks up, a few weeks down, is likely to continue at least through the end of the quarter.

—Barry Hyman

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Beginning
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The market did improve with the housing data. Market trends day to day are really influenced by how the bonds have been trading. When the rates have gone up, equities have suffering, when rates have...

—Barry Hyman

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The price of energy should spook investors. So far, the market is foolishly accepting of the price of oil without a negative reaction as long as it doesn’t break out to a new high.

—Barry Hyman

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Energy
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The traditional year-end rally didn’t happen this year and the ‘January Effect’ doesn’t look like it’s going to occur. This is just a wait-and-see market right now that will continue to be driven by important...

—Barry Hyman

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It is just an affirmation that the Nasdaq represents the growth sector of the investment universe. That is where much money is being put to work the last month.

—Barry Hyman

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Growth
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This is clearly a number on wage inflation that the market did not want to see. It’s clearly disturbing to see wages at this level and I think it’s going to weigh on the market...

—Barry Hyman

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Inflation
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I want to see more comments from the CEO saying things are stabilizing, … The market has its test coming in the next four-to-six weeks.

—Barry Hyman

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The problems are the same: Interest rates are high, and the economy is strong. It is affecting those sectors that are credit sensitive.

—Barry Hyman

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Economy
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I think there’s apathy in the market. The cruel reality is that earnings do matter and, in the absence of any new catalyst, you’re going to get days like this.

—Barry Hyman

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Absence
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I think there’s enough in the cyclicality issue that it’s going to be more of a traders’ market. I think there’s enough confusion out there that so much depends on the third-quarter earnings that we...

—Barry Hyman

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There are still tough times ahead in technology, … Wall Street wants to see only greater-than-expected earnings.

—Barry Hyman

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Technology
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There is also a little bit of nervousness ahead of tomorrow’s employment report, which is expected to be strong. It just focuses investors on the higher interest rates that are still in the offing.

—Barry Hyman

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The markets do not like global crises, whether they’re political or economic. They do have ramifications in the world. Our export market may be hurt somewhat due to that.

—Barry Hyman

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I am not looking at long-term because it is working against investments. There’s certainly going to be an implied warning (by the Fed) which means that we’re ‘on hold’ until August.

—Barry Hyman

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Technology has done well, not necessarily because of the crash, but because it has moved up the alert that the market’s concentrating on a 2002 recovery. Rather than focusing on the earnings that are going...

—Barry Hyman

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Technology
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