The big problem now is what does the Fed do with this. How does the Fed take the foot off the brake when you have stellar job creation and signs of increasing inflation?

God forbid this happened next year when we’ll have a new kid on the block, … We did have that with Greenspan in 1987, and he did fine.

The December inflation picture may look relatively benign, but the early 2006 outlook is considerably different.

I firmly believe that the Fed does not know what it’s going to do, certainly not at this point, … the big linchpin in this whole thing.

With job-market conditions being what they are, I don’t see how consumers will be out there spending up a storm in coming months,

As long as there is a perception that higher prices are in the tea leaves, that’s a problem certainly for policy makers. And I think that’s why the Federal Reserve seems hellbent on raising rates.

We already knew that economic growth in the fourth quarter was depressed. The pace of economic growth in the first quarter may be three times as fast, generating a lot of momentum as we head...

Businesses have had every incentive for investment spending, and they haven’t taken that opportunity. I can’t see how [the tax provision] expiring changes that too much.

The February drop in retail sales is not a sign that the economy is losing momentum. It is simply a payback for extraordinary numbers in January.

The economy is motoring along and we are indeed creating more than a decent amount of jobs. But there are a number of hurdles that lie in our path of prosperity ? record energy prices...

But so far three of the four [key interest rate reports] have come out looking really good and the Fed’s going to have to really stretch to get that next rate hike.

Elevated energy prices, questionable holiday spending and the rising interest rate environment are sending yellow caution flags around many corporate board rooms.

People buying generators sounds more like a smart insurance plan to protect some of their assets, rather than a sign they’re living in fear. It may dampen people’s outlook a little bit, but not in...

Another rate hike is all but a done deal.

Now it’s time to pay the piper and get this deficit back down to more manageable levels, and I believe the president’s budget will address these issues,

It’s looking like this party we’re all talking about has turned into a gala.

You haven’t heard one story in the last ten months, 12 months, of any company saying, hey, we have intentions of hiring. We’re going to be hiring. No company has said that.

It’s not really that shocking; we kind of expected it, … As the economy begins to moderate, we’ll get these sporadic spurts of growth — like an engine running out of gas. We suspect the...

I believe that the housing market has moved from a boil to a simmer.

That’s not a lot of money available to hire new workers and invest in new equipment — if businesses wanted to do that, and that doesn’t seem to be case.

It’s not a subject that anyone can afford to fail.

I can’t see the state of job creation changing for the better anytime soon.

As it stands right now, we’re looking down to about 2.5 percent [GDP growth] in the second quarter and third quarter, which is perfect for what the Fed would want. That would really play into...

Every piece of economic data we have received over the last six weeks is showing signs of higher inflation that threatens to erode economic growth. The after-shocks of the hurricanes may be longer and deeper...

We gave back some ground because the data proved that the economic slowdown isn’t necessarily a sure thing, … If consumer confidence remains at near all-time highs, the economy will continue to expand.

We are convinced that a large portion of the tax refunds that are scheduled to arrive in consumers’ mailboxes in March and April will be dedicated to these exorbitant energy costs, … With that, there’ll...

It’s not all roses in the labor market. I think the worst is behind us, but we’re more likely to have flat, or sideways, movements in job creation for the next year, year and a...

Consumers are partying like it’s 1999, … They are celebrating their full-employment status and they are spending. The punch bowl is only spiked with 1-1/2 percent inflation, which isn’t anything.

By historical comparison, there?s not an economist on the street that can call housing weak right now. If this is the soft patch, it?s pretty darn good for a soft patch.

We caution investors; one month of stellar job creation does not a trend make. And since the entire Street has diminished economic growth projections for 2005, we have to stick to our guns of slower,...

I don’t think this is worrisome at all. We’re coming off an extremely strong month.

We are going to have a winter of discontent.

Good news is when we get gains of 100,000 or 200,000 — [September’s] number could very easily be revised to negative 57,000, … One month does not a trend make.