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Gary Thayer  Quotes
It’s not really troubling. It’s the first decline since September. Probably more important is the trend that’s in place, which is upward. You would probably need to see three or more declines in the leading...

—Gary Thayer

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Decline
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The bond market had been thinking that the weak economic numbers that we’ve seen would cause the Fed to think twice about raising rates,

—Gary Thayer

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We’ve seen, over the past seven months or so, orders stabilize or improve slightly, compared to a big decline last year. Orders are rising relative to inventories, and that’s a positive sign for capital spending.

—Gary Thayer

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Past
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It looks like we will have about a half-million lost jobs from the hurricanes and we have now seen the lion’s share of that.

—Gary Thayer

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Unfortunately, this is pre-Katrina data and may not reflect what we’re likely to see in the next couple of months.

—Gary Thayer

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It’s a good decline in prices for a change. It appears the big drop in energy prices during November has brought the overall inflation rate down considerably.

—Gary Thayer

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The warm weather meant that utilities didn’t have to produce the seasonal norm, which occasionally happens in the wintertime.

—Gary Thayer

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The bond market took the GDP number positively, … It had expected stronger growth and some people may now be reminded that the Fed will not be quick to raise rates.

—Gary Thayer

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Gdp
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It still shows a pretty healthy economy at this point. The manufacturing side of things and business spending will be good this year.

—Gary Thayer

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Business
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Manufacturing is expanding, but not as broadly as in November. There was weakness in new orders and employment.

—Gary Thayer

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We’re still seeing a strong economy, … shows that we still have very good job creation. I think it’s very encouraging and a positive thing for American business.

—Gary Thayer

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This is probably going to keep the Fed concerned about inflation. If the housing market is still healthy, policy-makers will probably continue to raise interest rates.

—Gary Thayer

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Inflation
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Inflation is creeping up, but it’s not out of hand. I think that’s pretty important, … The bond market may have discounted a worst-case scenario over the last couple of months on inflation, and now...

—Gary Thayer

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Inflation
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Confidence is up again — to the highest level in over two years. Consumers are feeling better not only about current conditions, but also about prospects for the future.

—Gary Thayer

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Confidence
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This report leaves the door open for a rate cut. There’s still uncertainty out there, and as a way to sort of offset the uncertainty, the Fed will do more than it may need to...

—Gary Thayer

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Uncertainty
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Today’s numbers show that consumers are not very optimistic about the economy. As a result, we will see consumer spending reduced until we see some relief on energy prices. If we don’t get some relief,...

—Gary Thayer

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Consumer SpendingConsumersEconomy
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If we hadn’t heard from Greenspan last week that the Fed is still worried about an uneven recovery, we might be more upset about these numbers. But Greenspan is concerned that these retail sales numbers...

—Gary Thayer

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So core inflation is still rising slightly but doesn’t appear to be a problem, and I think this is good news for the Federal Reserve . With energy prices declining it reduces the risk that...

—Gary Thayer

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Inflation
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Growth is still at a healthy level. There is no major slowdown.

—Gary Thayer

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Growth
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We’re still getting some mixed data because of the impact of the hurricanes, but the underlying economy still looks healthy, … So I don’t think today’s data change the Fed’s thinking about raising interest rates.

—Gary Thayer

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EconomyHurricanesInterest Rates
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Fewer people are worried about jobs right now, more people think that jobs are easy to get, and I think that’s supporting confidence despite the high energy prices.

—Gary Thayer

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Jobs
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If unemployment continues to decline and the economy grows at an above-average pace … I think they (the Fed) will be a little more concerned about bottlenecks.

—Gary Thayer

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Economy
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It suggests our manufacturers are adjusting to a new environment and will continue to grow, … I think we have (already) seen the worst for manufacturing.

—Gary Thayer

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If sales can be sustained at this level, that would help support housing construction, but inventory of new homes is still increasing. The housing market is cooling off, but not dropping sharply.

—Gary Thayer

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